Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 11.407723 13.111888 14.935375 17.026191 19.351547 21.852629 24.740307
2025-10-12 9.123382 11.432244 14.074360 17.300165 21.109636 25.441926 30.716827
2025-10-19 7.652554 10.251292 13.381247 17.385391 22.324699 28.169011 35.553402
2025-10-26 6.360505 9.046224 12.430969 16.940422 22.713788 29.775933 38.976416
2025-11-02 5.409708 8.126237 11.692872 16.618940 23.133877 31.334568 42.300001
2025-11-09 4.635147 7.332840 11.013351 16.268576 23.427305 32.673156 45.325341
2025-11-16 4.012380 6.669557 10.428835 15.965497 23.715444 33.961746 48.277979
2025-11-23 3.435391 6.000533 9.762667 15.474049 23.681231 34.777252 50.589376
2025-11-30 3.100721 5.658338 9.529558 15.562497 24.428374 36.643683 54.341128
2025-12-07 2.801930 5.336745 9.292512 15.613844 25.103206 38.411941 57.993455
2025-12-14 2.565752 5.089740 9.143648 15.774993 25.926944 40.398332 61.991301
2025-12-21 2.320006 4.797781 8.895415 15.757365 26.469264 41.985772 65.458829
2025-12-28 2.175300 4.671297 8.908823 16.154596 27.661815 44.566014 70.446181
2026-01-04 2.019448 4.507053 8.844329 16.417764 28.653253 46.878865 75.112853
2026-01-11 1.849120 4.295417 8.679278 16.499415 29.354315 48.771785 79.208319
2026-01-18 1.618995 3.939305 8.230417 16.073195 29.219289 49.388912 81.420785
2026-01-25 1.432611 3.646968 7.868590 15.765312 29.248436 50.240611 83.988613
2026-02-01 1.263753 3.368837 7.507307 15.429822 29.206461 50.966912 86.370359
2026-02-08 1.119277 3.123823 7.185841 15.139656 29.217334 51.763154 88.865281
2026-02-15 0.971241 2.849482 6.781812 14.669237 28.892387 52.004186 90.493037
2026-02-22 0.895594 2.733960 6.682992 14.753891 29.519398 53.781518 94.555335
2026-03-01 0.823370 2.616842 6.570368 14.803038 30.081260 55.463104 98.501079
2026-03-08 0.766754 2.531113 6.515492 14.957289 30.830730 57.467595 103.002248